Robert Thomas vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 57.0%
Defensive zone
Thomas 52.2%
Neutral zone
Thomas 63.7%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Thomas 4-6 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
8
1
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
5
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
4
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (1,166)
51.0% (408)
+2.2%
Power Play
56.9% (262)
0.0% (6)
+56.9%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (221)
35.9% (78)
+12.5%
On power play, Thomas has a +56.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Thomas shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.6% (830)
50.8% (258)
Away
54.7% (819)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.7%
51.6%
P2
55.6%
45.2%
P3
50.6%
47.6%
OT
61.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 15:49 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 16:13 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 06:36 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |