Robert Thomas vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 80.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 71.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 9: Thomas 6-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
1
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
1
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
1
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (924)
45.4% (527)
+8.2%
Power Play
55.2% (181)
41.2% (17)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (116)
44.9% (138)
-0.9%
On power play, Thomas has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Thomas shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.6% (606)
46.1% (336)
Away
52.2% (615)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.2%
49.1%
P2
55.3%
45.3%
P3
55.2%
42.0%
OT
47.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 1 | 05:06 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |