Robert Thomas vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.8%
Defensive zone
Thomas 50.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (615)
47.6% (231)
+2.5%
Power Play
62.2% (98)
83.3% (12)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (114)
33.3% (21)
+19.3%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Thomas shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.9% (374)
51.2% (164)
Away
51.9% (453)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.2%
50.0%
P2
55.3%
46.2%
P3
50.6%
49.5%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |