Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.3%). Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Aho 51.2% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 29-20 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 55.6%
Defensive zone
Thomas 64.8%
Neutral zone
Thomas 56.7%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Thomas
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
20
(49 meetings)
29
20
Thomas
Aho
Last 10: Thomas 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
9
10
Thomas
Aho
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
10
6
Thomas
Aho
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
10
4
Thomas
Aho
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,350)
50.1% (6,619)
+1.0%
Power Play
55.8% (921)
58.9% (1,310)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
49.9% (691)
46.3% (464)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Thomas shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
Thomas
Aho
Home
50.9% (3,458)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
52.3% (3,504)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Thomas
Aho
P1
50.6%
51.1%
P2
52.9%
52.0%
P3
50.8%
50.7%
OT
59.2%
48.9%
Final 5 min
53.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 13:31 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:22 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:02 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:34 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |