Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 55.3%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thomas wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 54.5% vs Aho 54.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 69.3%
Defensive zone
Thomas 67.8%
Neutral zone
Thomas 54.6%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Thomas
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Thomas
Aho
Last 10: Thomas 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Thomas
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
1
Thomas
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
1
Thomas
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (990)
54.5% (870)
+0.8%
Power Play
54.2% (190)
62.4% (266)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (158)
37.1% (62)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Thomas shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Thomas
Aho
Home
55.1% (690)
53.9% (603)
Away
54.5% (648)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Thomas
Aho
P1
55.5%
54.1%
P2
56.4%
55.0%
P3
51.5%
57.4%
OT
69.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.6%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 13:31 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:22 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |