Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.9% vs Aho 53.8% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 70.5%
Defensive zone
Thomas 68.4%
Neutral zone
Aho 51.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Thomas
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Thomas
Aho
Last 10: Thomas 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
4
Thomas
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thomas
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
1
Thomas
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (1,166)
51.2% (785)
+2.0%
Power Play
56.9% (262)
63.8% (213)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (221)
57.9% (57)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Thomas shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Thomas
Aho
Home
51.6% (830)
54.9% (548)
Away
54.7% (819)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Thomas
Aho
P1
52.7%
52.8%
P2
55.6%
58.9%
P3
50.6%
50.6%
OT
61.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:02 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:34 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |