Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 49.9% vs Aho 52.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 80.2%
Defensive zone
Aho 51.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 58.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Thomas
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Thomas
Aho
Last 10: Thomas 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
5
1
Thomas
Aho
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
1
Thomas
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
2
Thomas
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (910)
51.6% (819)
-2.6%
Power Play
53.5% (142)
58.4% (173)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (75)
46.3% (67)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Thomas shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Thomas
Aho
Home
47.3% (514)
53.9% (568)
Away
52.0% (613)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Thomas
Aho
P1
50.4%
55.4%
P2
47.5%
51.2%
P3
51.4%
50.9%
OT
61.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:48 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:20 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 09:09 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 06:31 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |