Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.7% vs Aho 51.2% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 60.0%
Defensive zone
Thomas 67.2%
Neutral zone
Thomas 62.8%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Thomas
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Thomas
Aho
Last 8: Thomas 5-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thomas
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
1
Thomas
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (924)
48.5% (778)
+5.1%
Power Play
55.2% (181)
63.4% (191)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (116)
50.8% (65)
-6.8%
On power play, Aho has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Thomas shoots right. Aho is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Thomas
Aho
Home
53.6% (606)
51.3% (530)
Away
52.2% (615)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Thomas
Aho
P1
48.2%
50.0%
P2
55.3%
51.3%
P3
55.2%
52.1%
OT
47.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:59 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |