Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 49.9% vs Lorentz 47.6% (+4.4%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 55.6%
Defensive zone
Thomas 55.4%
Neutral zone
Thomas 54.3%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Thomas
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (910)
46.5% (101)
+2.5%
Power Play
53.5% (142)
33.3% (3)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (75)
37.5% (8)
+15.8%
On power play, Thomas has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Thomas shoots right. Lorentz is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Home / Away
Thomas
Lorentz
Home
47.3% (514)
49.1% (53)
Away
52.0% (613)
42.4% (59)
By Period
Thomas
Lorentz
P1
50.4%
48.6%
P2
47.5%
36.7%
P3
51.4%
57.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.5%