Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.7% vs Lorentz 50.0% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 69.9%
Defensive zone
Thomas 51.1%
Neutral zone
Thomas 57.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Thomas
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Thomas
Lorentz
Last 6: Thomas 4-2 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
0
Thomas
Lorentz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
2
Thomas
Lorentz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (615)
52.2% (67)
-2.1%
Power Play
62.2% (98)
50.0% (2)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (114)
42.9% (21)
+9.7%
On power play, Thomas has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Thomas shoots right. Lorentz is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Thomas
Lorentz
Home
51.9% (374)
55.4% (65)
Away
51.9% (453)
36.0% (25)
By Period
Thomas
Lorentz
P1
49.2%
59.3%
P2
55.3%
47.1%
P3
50.6%
44.8%
Final 5 min
51.2%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:10 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |