Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall. Thomas wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 54.5% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+18.4%)
Offensive zone
Thomas 58.0%
Defensive zone
Thomas 61.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 57.3%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Thomas
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (990)
30.8% (26)
+24.5%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (158)
57.1% (7)
-4.6%
On even strength, Thomas has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Thomas shoots right. Lorentz is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Thomas
Lorentz
Home
55.1% (690)
35.0% (20)
Away
54.5% (648)
38.5% (13)
By Period
Thomas
Lorentz
P1
55.5%
38.5%
P2
56.4%
37.5%
P3
51.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.4%