Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.9% vs Lorentz 49.4% (+4.2%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 52.0%
Defensive zone
Thomas 53.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 50.6%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Thomas
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (1,166)
48.9% (135)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (221)
50.0% (4)
-1.6%
On even strength, Thomas has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Thomas shoots right. Lorentz is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Thomas
Lorentz
Home
51.6% (830)
50.7% (75)
Away
54.7% (819)
46.9% (64)
By Period
Thomas
Lorentz
P1
52.7%
60.0%
P2
55.6%
46.3%
P3
50.6%
44.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.9%