Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 49.9% vs Hertl 52.3% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 62.7%
Defensive zone
Hertl 54.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 51.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Thomas
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Thomas
Hertl
Last 10: Thomas 3-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
1
Thomas
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
5
Thomas
Hertl
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Thomas
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (910)
51.6% (1,084)
-2.6%
Power Play
53.5% (142)
61.0% (246)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (75)
44.1% (136)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Thomas shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Thomas
Hertl
Home
47.3% (514)
55.2% (696)
Away
52.0% (613)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Thomas
Hertl
P1
50.4%
55.4%
P2
47.5%
54.8%
P3
51.4%
48.9%
OT
61.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 06:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 06:46 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 02:32 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 13:14 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 07:17 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:41 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |