Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hintz wins 60.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 58.0% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 69.2%
Defensive zone
Hintz 52.8%
Neutral zone
Hintz 57.6%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Hintz
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hintz
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
1
Hintz
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (530)
55.4% (826)
+3.3%
Power Play
59.4% (170)
57.9% (221)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (27)
50.4% (129)
+16.3%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hintz is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Hintz shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Hintz
O'Reilly
Home
60.2% (354)
55.8% (579)
Away
58.2% (373)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Hintz
O'Reilly
P1
58.4%
57.7%
P2
59.8%
54.8%
P3
58.2%
54.3%
OT
81.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |