Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Hintz wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 53.8% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 28-27 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 57.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 66.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 58.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Hintz
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
27
(55 meetings)
28
27
Hintz
O'Reilly
Last 10: Hintz 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
10
5
Hintz
O'Reilly
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
6
9
Hintz
O'Reilly
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
12
13
Hintz
O'Reilly
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,722)
56.2% (15,260)
-2.4%
Power Play
55.4% (567)
58.8% (3,445)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (221)
51.4% (2,811)
+1.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hintz is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Hintz shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Hintz
O'Reilly
Home
54.9% (2,317)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
52.9% (2,193)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Hintz
O'Reilly
P1
55.5%
55.6%
P2
53.9%
57.0%
P3
52.7%
55.1%
OT
49.3%
62.2%
Final 5 min
54.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 16:16 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 12:58 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:07 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:36 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 07:22 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 07:35 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |