Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Hintz wins 59.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 55.3% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 62.4%
Defensive zone
Hintz 75.4%
Neutral zone
Hintz 57.4%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Hintz
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Hintz
O'Reilly
Last 9: Hintz 7-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
0
Hintz
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
0
Hintz
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
3
2
Hintz
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (512)
55.0% (1,084)
+1.3%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
56.8% (303)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
40.3% (149)
+5.5%
On power play, Hintz has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hintz is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Hintz shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Hintz
O'Reilly
Home
57.3% (262)
54.8% (759)
Away
55.3% (304)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Hintz
O'Reilly
P1
54.8%
55.3%
P2
56.0%
51.9%
P3
57.5%
54.2%
OT
60.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
59.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:07 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:36 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 07:22 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |