Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 51.6% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 58.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 74.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Hintz
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hintz
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
0
Hintz
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (439)
56.1% (690)
-3.5%
Power Play
37.9% (29)
64.6% (96)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
45.9% (109)
+17.7%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hintz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Hintz shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Hintz
O'Reilly
Home
53.5% (256)
58.3% (408)
Away
50.2% (223)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Hintz
O'Reilly
P1
59.5%
57.7%
P2
49.2%
54.8%
P3
47.1%
55.2%
OT
62.5%
45.5%
Final 5 min
47.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
52.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 07:35 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |