Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Colton wins 42.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 48.1% vs Hertl 56.6% (-11.6%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 65.4%
Defensive zone
Colton 61.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Colton
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (76)
56.6% (632)
-11.9%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
58.7% (206)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
63.6% (22)
-63.6%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +63.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Colton is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Colton shoots left. Hertl is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Home / Away
Colton
Hertl
Home
42.1% (38)
59.7% (434)
Away
48.8% (43)
54.9% (426)
By Period
Colton
Hertl
P1
50.0%
51.0%
P2
46.7%
64.0%
P3
39.1%
57.8%
Final 5 min
25.0%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
45.7%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
57.3%