Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Colton wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 54.0% vs Hertl 54.5% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 77.3%
Defensive zone
Colton 57.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 53.4%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Colton
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Colton
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
0
Colton
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (173)
54.1% (1,117)
+2.0%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
59.8% (296)
-3.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Colton is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Colton shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Colton
Hertl
Home
55.3% (94)
54.3% (709)
Away
56.8% (95)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Colton
Hertl
P1
48.1%
51.6%
P2
62.5%
53.6%
P3
57.1%
58.6%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
56.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 03:32 | Defensive | Ross Colton |