Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Colton wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 48.5% vs Hertl 57.2% (-10.9%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 67.0%
Defensive zone
Colton 60.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Colton
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (88)
58.1% (823)
-12.6%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
56.2% (265)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
62.9% (35)
-62.9%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +62.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Colton is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (57).
Colton shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Colton
Hertl
Home
44.7% (47)
59.7% (561)
Away
49.0% (49)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Colton
Hertl
P1
52.8%
51.6%
P2
47.1%
63.8%
P3
38.5%
58.6%
Final 5 min
41.2%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
46.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%