Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 51.9% vs Carpenter 44.1% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 97.6%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 74.4%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 87.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 89.4%
89.4%
10.6%
Draisaitl
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Draisaitl
Carpenter
Last 10: Draisaitl 8-2 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
6
0
Draisaitl
Carpenter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
2
Draisaitl
Carpenter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (886)
46.2% (474)
+5.3%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
28.6% (7)
+27.7%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (111)
32.6% (129)
+14.2%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Draisaitl shoots left. Carpenter is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Carpenter
Home
54.4% (634)
46.5% (303)
Away
49.8% (635)
39.7% (307)
By Period
Draisaitl
Carpenter
P1
53.8%
44.2%
P2
55.3%
40.4%
P3
48.2%
44.2%
OT
36.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
52.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 16:22 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 13:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |