Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 44.1% vs Johansen 52.9% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Carpenter leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 83.6%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 55.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 58.3%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Carpenter
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Carpenter
Johansen
Last 10: Carpenter 5-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
3
Carpenter
Johansen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
2
0
Carpenter
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Carpenter
Johansen
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (474)
53.4% (845)
-7.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
58.8% (102)
-30.2%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (129)
44.7% (85)
-12.1%
On power play, Johansen has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Carpenter is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Carpenter shoots right. Johansen is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Johansen
Home
46.5% (303)
53.2% (479)
Away
39.7% (307)
53.2% (553)
By Period
Carpenter
Johansen
P1
44.2%
53.8%
P2
40.4%
53.9%
P3
44.2%
52.0%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
43.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |