Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Carpenter wins 61.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 52.2% vs Johansen 58.2% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Johansen 65.5%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 63.0%
Neutral zone
Johansen 56.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Carpenter
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (113)
59.8% (625)
-6.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
58.2% (196)
+41.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
51.9% (27)
+8.1%
On power play, Carpenter has a +41.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Carpenter is 61.1% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Carpenter shoots right. Johansen is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Johansen
Home
58.5% (65)
60.3% (436)
Away
49.2% (59)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Carpenter
Johansen
P1
65.8%
61.3%
P2
50.0%
60.4%
P3
47.9%
56.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%