Ryan Carpenter vs Ryan Johansen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 48.5% vs Johansen 53.3% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Carpenter leads 19-17 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 84.9%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 63.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 56.8%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Carpenter
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
17
(36 meetings)
19
17
Carpenter
Johansen
Last 10: Carpenter 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
7
Carpenter
Johansen
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
11
5
Carpenter
Johansen
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
5
Carpenter
Johansen
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,027)
53.1% (11,017)
-3.5%
Power Play
41.5% (41)
56.2% (2,163)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (467)
50.5% (978)
-6.6%
On power play, Johansen has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Carpenter is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (695).
Carpenter shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Johansen
Home
51.2% (1,290)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
45.5% (1,245)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Carpenter
Johansen
P1
49.6%
53.2%
P2
47.7%
53.9%
P3
48.0%
52.8%
OT
55.6%
58.2%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 18:19 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:59 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |