Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 48.2% vs Johansen 52.8% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 64.7%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 68.4%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 63.4%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Carpenter
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Carpenter
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Carpenter
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (404)
51.9% (597)
-3.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
57.9% (133)
+42.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (101)
54.3% (81)
-10.7%
On power play, Carpenter has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Carpenter is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Carpenter shoots right. Johansen is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Johansen
Home
48.9% (274)
55.8% (387)
Away
46.6% (232)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Carpenter
Johansen
P1
51.9%
50.0%
P2
49.4%
56.2%
P3
41.8%
52.6%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |