Ryan Carpenter vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 51.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.2%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 71.4%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 65.9%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
0
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (299)
43.0% (349)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (86)
31.8% (88)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Carpenter has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Carpenter shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.6% (207)
38.5% (231)
Away
48.1% (181)
43.2% (206)
By Period
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.3%
40.2%
P2
51.5%
36.0%
P3
50.8%
45.1%
Final 5 min
44.2%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |