Ryan Carpenter vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carpenter wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 48.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 75.1%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 71.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.9%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 9: Carpenter 4-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
3
0
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,027)
44.9% (8,756)
+4.7%
Power Play
41.5% (41)
50.7% (839)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (467)
37.9% (879)
+6.0%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Carpenter shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,645).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.2% (1,290)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
45.5% (1,245)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.6%
45.1%
P2
47.7%
43.9%
P3
48.0%
45.3%
OT
55.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 14:45 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |