Ryan Carpenter vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 52.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 55.6%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 64.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (113)
45.4% (527)
+7.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
41.2% (17)
+58.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
44.9% (138)
+15.1%
On power play, Carpenter has a +58.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Carpenter shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
58.5% (65)
46.1% (336)
Away
49.2% (59)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
65.8%
49.1%
P2
50.0%
45.3%
P3
47.9%
42.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |