Ryan Carpenter vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.0%). Carpenter wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 48.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 70.5%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 66.3%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 60.5%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (404)
51.0% (408)
-2.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (6)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (101)
35.9% (78)
+7.7%
On power play, Carpenter has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Carpenter shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.9% (274)
50.8% (258)
Away
46.6% (232)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.9%
51.6%
P2
49.4%
45.2%
P3
41.8%
47.6%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%