Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 52.2% vs Steel 48.8% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 58.9%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 53.0%
Neutral zone
Steel 64.4%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Carpenter
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Carpenter
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Carpenter
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (113)
49.5% (553)
+3.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
61.3% (31)
+38.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
30.6% (49)
+29.4%
On power play, Carpenter has a +38.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Carpenter shoots right. Steel is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Steel
Home
58.5% (65)
46.4% (347)
Away
49.2% (59)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Carpenter
Steel
P1
65.8%
52.1%
P2
50.0%
49.8%
P3
47.9%
45.2%
Final 5 min
43.5%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Sam Steel |