Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Carpenter wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 48.2% vs Steel 46.6% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 56.5%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 59.9%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 60.8%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Carpenter
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Carpenter
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
0
Carpenter
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (404)
44.6% (177)
+4.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
66.7% (3)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (101)
44.8% (29)
-1.2%
On power play, Carpenter has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Carpenter shoots right. Steel is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Steel
Home
48.9% (274)
46.7% (90)
Away
46.6% (232)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Carpenter
Steel
P1
51.9%
47.8%
P2
49.4%
47.0%
P3
41.8%
41.3%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |