Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 51.2% vs Gourde 49.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 68.4%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 75.5%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 54.9%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Carpenter
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Carpenter
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
2
0
Carpenter
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (299)
49.1% (731)
+4.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
54.3% (81)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (86)
48.2% (85)
-1.7%
On power play, Gourde has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Carpenter shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Gourde
Home
54.6% (207)
50.9% (479)
Away
48.1% (181)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Carpenter
Gourde
P1
52.3%
51.2%
P2
51.5%
49.8%
P3
50.8%
47.5%
Final 5 min
44.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |