Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 52.2% vs Gourde 49.7% (+4.3%)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 50.6%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 50.1%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Carpenter
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (113)
49.1% (847)
+4.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
79.5% (44)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
39.5% (81)
+20.5%
On power play, Carpenter has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Carpenter shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Gourde
Home
58.5% (65)
50.1% (491)
Away
49.2% (59)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Carpenter
Gourde
P1
65.8%
54.7%
P2
50.0%
45.0%
P3
47.9%
49.4%
Final 5 min
43.5%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%