Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Donato wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 48.1% vs Hartman 45.5% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 56.7%
Defensive zone
Hartman 54.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 52.5%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Donato
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Donato
Hartman
Last 10: Donato 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
3
Donato
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
5
2
Donato
Hartman
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Donato
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (258)
44.8% (830)
+3.3%
Power Play
43.2% (37)
47.8% (92)
-4.6%
On power play, Hartman has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Donato is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Donato shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Donato
Hartman
Home
45.8% (142)
45.0% (515)
Away
49.0% (153)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Donato
Hartman
P1
48.1%
46.5%
P2
46.6%
39.9%
P3
46.8%
48.6%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 08:37 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |