Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Donato wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 45.4% vs Hartman 48.1% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 68.5%
Defensive zone
Hartman 68.8%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.1%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Donato
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Donato
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Donato
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
0
Donato
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (400)
48.1% (520)
-4.6%
Power Play
48.7% (119)
44.7% (47)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
47.8% (23)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Donato is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Donato shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Donato
Hartman
Home
50.2% (279)
48.3% (360)
Away
38.2% (246)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Donato
Hartman
P1
44.6%
48.5%
P2
46.6%
45.2%
P3
42.0%
49.6%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.6%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |