Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Donato wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 46.0% vs Hartman 47.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 52.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 68.2%
Neutral zone
Hartman 56.5%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Donato
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Donato
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
2
0
Donato
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Donato
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (180)
47.1% (649)
-2.7%
Power Play
43.2% (37)
47.1% (68)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
45.2% (73)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Donato is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Donato shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Donato
Hartman
Home
45.4% (97)
46.5% (361)
Away
43.2% (125)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Donato
Hartman
P1
36.2%
45.1%
P2
48.6%
44.4%
P3
46.9%
50.9%
Final 5 min
45.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |