Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.2% vs 42.9%). Donato wins 32.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 45.3% vs Hartman 44.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 50.5%
Defensive zone
Hartman 62.5%
Neutral zone
Hartman 55.7%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Donato
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Donato
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Donato
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (140)
42.6% (495)
+0.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
38.5% (26)
-9.9%
On power play, Hartman has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Donato is 32.7% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Donato shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Donato
Hartman
Home
44.6% (83)
43.4% (288)
Away
39.1% (64)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Donato
Hartman
P1
53.2%
43.1%
P2
33.3%
43.4%
P3
41.3%
42.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
42.2%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |