Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.5% vs 45.2%). Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Donato wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 44.9% vs Hartman 45.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 74.7%
Defensive zone
Hartman 57.3%
Neutral zone
Donato 58.1%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Donato
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
15
(25 meetings)
10
15
Donato
Hartman
Last 10: Donato 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
4
Donato
Hartman
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
7
7
Donato
Hartman
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
4
Donato
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (1,179)
45.2% (4,235)
-1.0%
Power Play
46.3% (246)
47.4% (443)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
42.4% (262)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Donato is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (547).
Donato shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Home / Away
Donato
Hartman
Home
47.2% (743)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
41.6% (693)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Donato
Hartman
P1
43.4%
46.0%
P2
45.1%
42.9%
P3
44.4%
46.8%
OT
70.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
47.5%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 08:37 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |