Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Donato wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 48.1% vs Kuraly 50.1% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 84.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 59.1%
Neutral zone
Donato 64.2%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Donato
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Donato
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Donato
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Donato
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (258)
51.8% (444)
-3.7%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Donato is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Donato shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Donato
Kuraly
Home
45.8% (142)
54.6% (304)
Away
49.0% (153)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Donato
Kuraly
P1
48.1%
55.2%
P2
46.6%
45.7%
P3
46.8%
49.5%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |