Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Donato wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 47.1% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 80.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 84.3%
Neutral zone
Donato 52.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Donato
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Donato
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
0
Donato
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Donato
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
30.4% (23)
52.3% (982)
-21.9%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
41.9% (43)
+11.4%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Donato is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Donato shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Donato
Kuraly
Home
47.1% (17)
50.3% (680)
Away
33.3% (21)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Donato
Kuraly
P1
33.3%
49.5%
P2
28.6%
49.6%
P3
66.7%
49.0%
Final 5 min
30.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
39.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |