Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 45.3% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 87.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 81.1%
Neutral zone
Donato 54.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Donato
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Donato
Kuraly
Last 5: Donato 2-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
0
Donato
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Donato
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Donato
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (140)
49.2% (901)
-6.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
68.2% (22)
-39.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Donato is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Donato shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Donato
Kuraly
Home
44.6% (83)
51.7% (603)
Away
39.1% (64)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Donato
Kuraly
P1
53.2%
50.9%
P2
33.3%
49.5%
P3
41.3%
49.1%
Final 5 min
41.2%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
42.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:27 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |