Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Donato wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 45.4% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 80.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 73.8%
Neutral zone
Donato 56.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Donato
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Donato
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
0
Donato
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Donato
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (400)
55.3% (515)
-11.8%
Power Play
48.7% (119)
55.6% (9)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
44.8% (58)
-11.5%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Donato shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Donato
Kuraly
Home
50.2% (279)
57.3% (293)
Away
38.2% (246)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Donato
Kuraly
P1
44.6%
53.8%
P2
46.6%
51.5%
P3
42.0%
57.6%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |