Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Donato wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 44.9% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 95.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 61.5%
Neutral zone
Donato 78.6%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Donato
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Donato
Kuraly
Last 10: Donato 3-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
3
0
Donato
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
7
Donato
Kuraly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Donato
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (1,179)
51.5% (5,141)
-7.3%
Power Play
46.3% (246)
56.0% (100)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
44.2% (1,086)
-7.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Donato shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Donato
Kuraly
Home
47.2% (743)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
41.6% (693)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Donato
Kuraly
P1
43.4%
51.1%
P2
45.1%
49.9%
P3
44.4%
50.0%
OT
70.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:27 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |