Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 45.3% vs Hertl 54.5% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 54.9%
Defensive zone
Donato 50.6%
Neutral zone
Donato 55.8%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Donato
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Donato
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Donato
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (140)
54.1% (1,117)
-11.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
59.8% (296)
-31.2%
On power play, Hertl has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Donato is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Donato shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Donato
Hertl
Home
44.6% (83)
54.3% (709)
Away
39.1% (64)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Donato
Hertl
P1
53.2%
51.6%
P2
33.3%
53.6%
P3
41.3%
58.6%
Final 5 min
41.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
42.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |