Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Donato wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 46.0% vs Hertl 56.8% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 61.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 55.8%
Neutral zone
Donato 54.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Donato
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Donato
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Donato
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (180)
57.0% (718)
-12.6%
Power Play
43.2% (37)
64.9% (188)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
44.2% (77)
-4.2%
On power play, Hertl has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Donato is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Donato shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Donato
Hertl
Home
45.4% (97)
59.2% (463)
Away
43.2% (125)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Donato
Hertl
P1
36.2%
56.3%
P2
48.6%
55.4%
P3
46.9%
60.5%
Final 5 min
45.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |