Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Hartman 45.5% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 63.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 89.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 61.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Dowd
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Dowd
Hartman
Last 10: Dowd 7-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
0
Dowd
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
3
Dowd
Hartman
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
44.8% (830)
+6.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
47.8% (92)
-47.8%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
37.5% (16)
+4.1%
On power play, Hartman has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Dowd shoots right. Hartman is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hartman
Home
48.6% (451)
45.0% (515)
Away
49.5% (416)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Dowd
Hartman
P1
49.1%
46.5%
P2
47.3%
39.9%
P3
51.4%
48.6%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 08:25 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |