Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.9% vs Hartman 47.3% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 75.5%
Defensive zone
Hartman 71.4%
Neutral zone
Hartman 71.4%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
Paul
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Paul
Hartman
Last 5: Paul 1-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
3
Paul
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Paul
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (710)
47.1% (649)
+6.0%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
47.1% (68)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
58.0% (69)
45.2% (73)
+12.8%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Paul shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Paul
Hartman
Home
56.0% (466)
46.5% (361)
Away
52.7% (512)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Paul
Hartman
P1
57.2%
45.1%
P2
54.9%
44.4%
P3
51.5%
50.9%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 04:24 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |