Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Donato wins 33.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 47.2% vs Hartman 43.0% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 60.3%
Defensive zone
Hartman 80.7%
Neutral zone
Hartman 60.8%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Donato
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Donato
Hartman
Last 6: Donato 2-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Donato
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
3
Donato
Hartman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (44)
40.9% (413)
-2.3%
Power Play
52.6% (19)
53.6% (28)
-1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Donato is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Donato shoots left. Hartman is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Donato
Hartman
Home
38.7% (31)
46.2% (249)
Away
46.9% (32)
36.4% (228)
By Period
Donato
Hartman
P1
41.2%
45.4%
P2
44.4%
39.1%
P3
40.7%
40.2%
Final 5 min
45.5%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
42.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 09:43 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 08:48 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |