Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Hartman wins 38.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 43.0% vs O'Reilly 58.1% (-17.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 78.4%
Defensive zone
Hartman 75.2%
Neutral zone
Hartman 85.7%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Hartman
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Hartman
O'Reilly
Last 10: Hartman 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
6
Hartman
O'Reilly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Hartman
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Hartman
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (413)
58.6% (841)
-17.7%
Power Play
53.6% (28)
59.9% (207)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (36)
58.1% (148)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hartman is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Hartman shoots right. O'Reilly is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Hartman
O'Reilly
Home
46.2% (249)
59.8% (594)
Away
36.4% (228)
57.8% (602)
By Period
Hartman
O'Reilly
P1
45.4%
61.7%
P2
39.1%
56.2%
P3
40.2%
59.5%
Final 5 min
41.4%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
41.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2021 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:46 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 12, 2021 | 1 | 16:15 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 12, 2021 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 13:32 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |