Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 33 meetings). Hartman wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.4% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 57-27 in 84 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 95.0%
Defensive zone
Hartman 97.7%
Neutral zone
Hartman 97.1%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 96.6%
96.6%
3.4%
Hartman
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
57
(84 meetings)
27
57
Hartman
O'Reilly
Last 10: Hartman 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
9
18
Hartman
O'Reilly
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
9
24
Hartman
O'Reilly
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
9
15
Hartman
O'Reilly
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,371)
56.2% (15,360)
-10.9%
Power Play
47.4% (449)
58.6% (3,471)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (267)
51.4% (2,851)
-9.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,664).
Hartman shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,731).
Home / Away
Hartman
O'Reilly
Home
46.7% (2,628)
57.6% (10,839)
Away
43.8% (2,459)
54.4% (10,876)
By Period
Hartman
O'Reilly
P1
46.1%
55.6%
P2
43.1%
57.0%
P3
46.6%
55.0%
OT
53.8%
62.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
48.0%▬
49.0%
45.3%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
53.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 11, 2026 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 11, 2026 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 11, 2026 | 3 | 01:16 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 11, 2026 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 11, 2026 | 1 | 14:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 19:15 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 16:45 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 10:01 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 09:26 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |